Confidence is not the same as being right
A model that says "90% sure" should be right about nine times in ten. Most of us, models and people, are not calibrated like that.
GARDEN / ESSAYS & NOTES
Short essays that link to each other. Pick a tag to follow one topic, or start anywhere and follow the links.
A model that says "90% sure" should be right about nine times in ten. Most of us, models and people, are not calibrated like that.
Somewhere, someone tired and in a hurry will read the sentence you wrote at the end of a long afternoon. Write it for them.
Long races punish the version of you that wants to look strong early. They reward the one who tells the truth about the next four hours.
Going back to university for an MSc in AI, after years of shipping software, meant learning which ideas age quickly and which ones don't.
If I only ran on dry days in Wales I would barely run at all. The weather taught me something about starting before I feel ready.